Pre-tourney Rankings
Youngstown St.
Horizon
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#282
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#248
Pace77.0#22
Improvement-1.1#233

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#227
First Shot-1.2#216
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#259
Layup/Dunks-2.6#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#25
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#148
Freethrows-3.0#331
Improvement-0.6#214

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#306
First Shot-3.2#268
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#330
Layups/Dunks-3.3#302
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#87
Freethrows+1.4#89
Improvement-0.5#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 105   Akron W 90-82 20%     1 - 0 +9.3 +6.9 +1.8
  Nov 15, 2016 132   @ Toledo L 98-103 OT 13%     1 - 1 -0.8 +5.1 -4.8
  Nov 18, 2016 286   Jacksonville L 54-79 51%     1 - 2 -32.9 -25.2 -7.5
  Nov 19, 2016 241   @ South Alabama L 75-84 30%     1 - 3 -11.4 -3.7 -6.9
  Nov 20, 2016 276   Florida International W 78-73 47%     2 - 3 -1.9 +0.9 -2.7
  Nov 26, 2016 196   Canisius L 84-90 37%     2 - 4 -10.3 +3.4 -13.5
  Nov 30, 2016 275   @ Robert Morris W 75-74 37%     3 - 4 -3.3 +6.6 -9.9
  Dec 06, 2016 44   @ Michigan St. L 57-77 3%     3 - 5 -6.1 -6.5 -0.4
  Dec 10, 2016 304   @ American L 62-77 45%     3 - 6 -21.5 -14.0 -7.2
  Dec 14, 2016 266   Niagara W 101-97 OT 55%     4 - 6 -5.0 +8.3 -14.0
  Dec 20, 2016 71   @ Ohio St. L 40-77 6%     4 - 7 -26.7 -31.0 +6.0
  Dec 29, 2016 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 88-87 2OT 51%     5 - 7 1 - 0 -7.0 +1.0 -8.1
  Dec 31, 2016 185   Green Bay L 77-90 34%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -16.5 -8.5 -5.9
  Jan 05, 2017 149   @ Northern Kentucky L 70-83 15%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -9.6 -10.4 +2.3
  Jan 07, 2017 165   @ Wright St. W 80-75 17%     6 - 9 2 - 2 +7.6 +6.3 +1.2
  Jan 12, 2017 100   Valparaiso L 62-78 18%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -14.1 -5.4 -9.7
  Jan 14, 2017 247   Illinois-Chicago L 89-92 OT 50%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -10.7 -0.4 -9.8
  Jan 16, 2017 295   @ Detroit Mercy L 71-87 44%     6 - 12 2 - 5 -22.1 -10.7 -11.0
  Jan 20, 2017 185   @ Green Bay W 92-89 19%     7 - 12 3 - 5 +4.6 +8.8 -4.7
  Jan 22, 2017 253   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 85-94 OT 32%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -11.9 +5.4 -16.7
  Jan 28, 2017 245   Cleveland St. W 67-64 50%     8 - 13 4 - 6 -4.6 -2.6 -1.9
  Feb 02, 2017 108   Oakland L 76-90 21%     8 - 14 4 - 7 -13.1 +2.9 -15.2
  Feb 04, 2017 295   Detroit Mercy L 80-90 63%     8 - 15 4 - 8 -21.2 -8.8 -11.6
  Feb 09, 2017 247   @ Illinois-Chicago L 81-84 31%     8 - 16 4 - 9 -5.6 -0.8 -4.5
  Feb 11, 2017 100   @ Valparaiso L 72-82 9%     8 - 17 4 - 10 -3.0 +4.1 -7.2
  Feb 16, 2017 165   Wright St. L 81-84 31%     8 - 18 4 - 11 -5.5 +6.8 -12.3
  Feb 18, 2017 149   Northern Kentucky W 81-77 28%     9 - 18 5 - 11 +2.3 +0.1 +1.9
  Feb 21, 2017 108   @ Oakland L 72-101 11%     9 - 19 5 - 12 -23.0 -4.7 -14.3
  Feb 25, 2017 245   @ Cleveland St. L 55-69 31%     9 - 20 5 - 13 -16.5 -12.1 -5.3
  Mar 03, 2017 245   Cleveland St. W 84-69 40%     10 - 20 +10.0 +14.8 -4.4
  Mar 04, 2017 108   Oakland W 81-80 15%     11 - 20 +4.5 +8.1 -3.7
  Mar 06, 2017 149   Northern Kentucky L 74-84 21%     11 - 21 -9.2 -0.7 -8.3
Projected Record 11.0 - 21.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%